| Mapping
Long-Term Land-Use Trajectories|

Figure 3. Non-forested land declines from
over 10% to less than 5% of the Little Tennessee watershed between 1950
and 1990.
We will be developing characterizations of land use and land cover on a
detailed categorical level from 1800 to the present. Our 1800 onset date
marks the beginning of significant Euro-american settlement in the
southern Appalachian Mountains. This onset date allows us to evaluate the
effects of critical turning points in the transformation of Appalachia (Salstrom
1994, Dunaway 1996, Yarnell 1998) including the start of market
segmentation in 1820, the apogee in forest clearing after 1900, and the
recreation and real estate boom beginning in 1970. By combining
independently derived social, economic, and biophysical evidence (e.g.
U.S. Census and State records of various kinds, historical cartography,
aerial photography, eyewitness and personal accounts, satellite data,
etc.), we will be able to map historic and current patterns across the
region that address the following questions:
1. How does land use/land cover vary across spatial, temporal and
measurement scales?
2. What are the spatial and temporal linkages between biogeophysical and
socioeconomic processes?
3. How is previous transformation of a site linked to subsequent
transformation of the same and surrounding sites?
Once these land-use trajectories are evaluated
through information-theoretic techniques (Wear and Bolstad 1998) the
results will then serve as the cartographic template for other research
projects.
Previous Research on Topic
Available Educational Opportunities
Investigators
Ted Gragson,
U of Georgia, Human disturbance processes
Paul Bolstad, U of Minnesota, Forest
Processes
David Wear, USDA-USFS, Forest
Economic Modeling
Environmental Gradients
One of the defining characteristics of the southern Appalachian Mountains
is significant and predictable environmental heterogeneity over small
spatial scales. Understanding how gradients influence the structure and
function of watershed ecosystems has been a persistent focus of the
Coweeta LTER (e.g. Knoepp et al. 2000). Along the environmental gradient,
the physical template appears more important in regulating ecosystem
structure (i.e., community assemblages) than function (i.e.,
biogeochemical cycling Knoepp et al.
2000).

Long-term measurements have been made on a wide
array of environmental variables at
Coweeta (Table II.2), and the measurements represent one of the most
comprehensive, long term
and best-studied environmental data sets in the world. We are continuing
long-term
macro- and microclimatic measurements in the Coweeta basin and to
characterize the larger
region from climate, atmospheric deposition, stream chemistry and stream
flow measurements
obtained from the environmental monitoring network managed and operated by
state and federal
agencies (e.g., USGS, National Park Service, NCDC network). Please see our
current and past research page on
Environmental Gradient Research. Long term measurements are
critical to future research since it provides baseline data to
analyze temporal trends (e.g., Swank and Waide 1988, Swank and Vose 1997),
identify driving variables (e.g., Swank and Vose 1990/91, Vose and Swank
1993), and develop and validate spatially-explicit models (e.g., Bolstad
et al. 1998).
Previous
Research on Topic
Available Research and Educational Opportunities
Investigators
Barry Clinton, USDA-USFS, Response to
disturbance
Katherine Elliott, USDA-USFS, Plant
community ecology
Brian Kloeppel, U of Georgia,
Physiological gradients
Jennifer Knoepp, USDA-USFS, Soil
Processes
Wayne Swank, USDA-USFS, Hydrological
dynamics/cycling
James Vose, USDA-USFS, Forest Processes
Disturbance Regimes
Disturbance is an important driver of southern Appalachian ecosystem
structure and function that interacts with human decision-making and
environmental gradients. Much of our previous research on ecosystem
responses to disturbance focused on a subset of important forces acting on
large scales and/or short-time intervals (e.g., the pattern and magnitude
of wind damage in the Coweeta Basin from Hurricane Opal, (Hunter and
Forkner 1999, Wright and Coleman 2002). We will be developing a
comprehensive understanding of disturbance regimes for the region through
three linked research projects focused on deriving disturbance signatures,
probabilistic decadal land-use choice functions, and quantifying fluvial
sedimentation patterns.
Dendroecological
Analyses of Historic Disturbance Regimes
The distribution, diversity, and net primary productivity of southern
Appalachia species represents the combined effects of
environmental driving variables, natural
disturbances (i.e., drought, insect damage, etc.), and human disturbances
(i.e., logging, grazing, etc.). Previous studies of forest composition in
the Coweeta Basin (Elliott et al. 1999) indicate that only 50% of the
variation in the distribution of vegetation is explained by site factors
such as slope, aspect, and soils.
Similarly, only 30 to 60% of ANPP
variation (above-ground net primary productivity) across the landscape is
explained by environmental driving variables (Bolstad et al. 2001). We
hypothesize that human disturbance will account for a large portion of the
remaining variation and once its proportional contribution is determined
we can improve our ability to predict vegetation composition and ANPP.
Using dendroecological (tree ring) techniques, we will seek answers to the
following questions:
1. What are the signatures for local disturbance regimes in southern
Appalachian hardwoods over the last 100-200 years?
2. How much has local (small plot) disturbance regimes over the last
100-200 years affected current vegetation distribution and ANPP?
Previous Research on Topic
Available Research and Educational Opportunities
Investigators
Barry Clinton, USDA-USFS, Response to
disturbance
Katherine Elliott, USDA-USFS, Plant
community ecology
Ted Gragson, U of Georgia, Human
disturbance processes
Jennifer Knoepp, USDA-USFS, Soil
Processes
James Vose, USDA-USFS, Forest Processes
Human-disturbance:
Analyses of Land-use Choices
Human land-use choices are the primary disturbance on private lands,
which cover approximately 55% of our study region. Typical studies
evaluate land use choice probabilities as a function of physical measures
of land quality (e.g., the Von Thünen model, Samuelson 1983, the Central
Business District model, Capozza and Helsley 1989), but must assume that
social variables remain constant across the landscape. Historical accounts
of land use in the southern Appalachian Mountains (e.g., Silver 1990,
Salstrom 1994, Davis 2000) are similarly incomplete because they seldom
quantify impacts across time or evaluate their heterogeneity across space.
A probabilistic model of land-use choice across the region will be
derived for each decade from 1800 to the present by using land use and
property records, oral histories, geneology, population and agricultural
census records, and remote imagery. The following questions will be
addressed:
1. What is the relation between land use choices and changing markets,
institutions and environmental conditions?
2. How do economic transitions over time relate to the nature and the
distribution of land conversion?
3. How do the costs and benefits of environmental policies affect the
spatial dimensions of land use decisions across time, and therefore the
storage of carbon or delivery of sediment to streams?
Previous Research on Topic
Available Research and Educational Opportunities
Investigators
Ted Gragson,
U of Georgia, Human disturbance processes
David Newman, U of Georgia, Forest
Economics/Policy
David Wear, USDA-USFS, Forest Economic
Modeling
Impacts of Historic Land-use on
River Channels and Floodplains

Figure 4. Little Tennessee River cutbank showing historic and
prehistoric strata, and the position of a radiocarbon date of 770 BC.
Long-term average sedimentation rates in the prehistoric strata are about
0.5 mm/y versus 5.0 mm/y in the historic strata.
The focus of the research will be on changes in river channel morphology
and bottomland sedimentation patterns in the upper Little Tennessee and
French Broad River systems. These rivers and their wide alluvial valleys
underwent pronounced changes beginning in the late 1700s. The changes
steadily increased through the mid to late 1800s as widespread
agricultural and timber-harvesting activities accelerated erosion and
sedimentation across the region (Ayres and Ashe 1905, Glenn 1911).
Subsequent changes in land use played an equally important role in the
ongoing and complex sequence of fluvial landscape response and recovery.
Preliminary observations and a radiocarbon date from an exposed stream
bank (Figure 4) indicate prehistoric sedimentation rates of 0.5 mm/y, and
5.0 mm/y since 1800. Preliminary calculations suggest major morphological
changes in floodplains following European settlement. We anticipate these
changes can be linked to flood frequency, and ecological interaction
between the channel and its floodplain. We will address the following
questions in our research:1. What is the chronology, frequency, and
magnitude of floods and their interactions with vegetation and land use?
2. What is the rate of sediment accumulation and related changes in
channel morphology?
3. What are the impact signatures of distinct disturbance regimes?
Previous Research on Topic
Available Research and Educational Opportunities
Investigators
Paul Bolstad, U of Minnesota, Forest
Processes
Fred Benfield, Virgina Tech, Stream
Processes
Ted Gragson,
U of Georgia, Human Disturbance Processes
David S. Leigh, U of Georgia, Geomorphic
Process
Mark Riedel, USDA-USFS, Hydrology
Bruce Wallace, U of Georgia, Stream
Processes
David Wear, USDA-USFS, Forest Economic
Modeling
Jack Webster, Virginia Tech, Stream
Processes
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